Executive brief

The digital asset market is navigating a complex intersection of geopolitical relief and hawkish central bank signals. Bitcoin has found support around $77,000 as prices were buoyed by news that the United States is in the final stages of peace negotiations with Iran. This potential de-escalation saw US oil prices tumble below $97.00 per barrel, easing some immediate macro pressure. However, the latest Fed meeting minutes revealed that a majority of officials still view rate hikes as a possibility if inflation persists, a sentiment that has pushed the US 10-year yield to 4.6653%. This surge in real yields creates a significant hurdle for non-yielding assets, contributing to the first negative week for crypto ETFs in seven weeks, with $1.1b in total outflows.

Long-term structural drivers remain active despite the short-term volatility. President Trump has signed a landmark executive order directing the Federal Reserve to review fintech access to central bank payment rails, which could allow firms like Kraken and Ripple to settle high-value transactions directly. Additionally, Ethereum continues to consolidate its leadership in the real-world asset sector, now accounting for 67% of a tokenised market that has reached a record $33.8b. While the market anticipates a volatility spike surrounding Nvidia’s Q1 earnings, the primary risk remains a potential breakdown of Ethereum support at $2,000, which could trigger a broader deleveraging event if Treasury yields continue their disorderly ascent.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$331,045,135.875 -$62,296,809.865
Value traded $1,413,310,274.57 $398,620,287.23
Net assets $100,286,129,755.65 $12,142,114,943.10
Cumulative net inflow $57,360,323,148.07 $11,682,893,176.27

3) X trending news

  • Nvidia Q1 earnings expectation; options markets are pricing a 7% move as revenue is expected to hit $78.8b;.
  • Fed minutes reveal hawkish tone; a majority of officials noted that rate hikes may be necessary if inflation does not subside;.
  • OpenAI prepares for IPO; the company is reportedly working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a filing for as early as September;.
  • Trump peace talks drop oil; US oil prices fell 7% to $97 per barrel following comments on the final stages of Iran negotiations;.
  • Meta begins global layoffs; the company started 8,000 job cuts today with employees based in Singapore;.
  • Tokenised assets hit record; the value of real-world tokenised assets has reached $33.8b, a 1,600% increase over two years;.
  • SpaceX selects IPO lead; Goldman Sachs will lead the record-setting public offering with a prospectus expected as early as this week;.
  • US single-family home bill; the House passed a bill to limit large investors from purchasing single-family residential properties;.