Executive brief

Global financial markets experienced a significant shift following the announcement of a geopolitical breakthrough between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan. The deal, which includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered a sharp reversal in oil prices, which tumbled below $81 per barrel. This removal of the war premium allowed Bitcoin to jump above $67,000 as traders unwound defensive positions, leading to $150,000,000 in short liquidations. Corporate appetite remains robust, evidenced by Strategy acquiring another 1,587 bitcoin for $100,000,000, lifting its total holdings to 846,842 BTC. This acquisition aligns with a broader trend of institutionalisation where Bitcoin is increasingly being utilised as a financial primitive for insurance reserves and structured credit.

Capital market activity reached historic levels as the SpaceX IPO raised a record $85.7b, briefly propelling Elon Musk to trillionaire status and establishing the firm with a market value above $2.3 trillion. On the regulatory front, the SEC published its five-year strategic plan, signalling a shift towards modernising financial infrastructure through blockchain. However, the industry faces ongoing security challenges, including a reported $2.1m exploit of an Aztec Connect contract and a $36m loss at Humanity Protocol attributed to North Korean threat actors. Furthermore, the suspension of foreign access to Anthropic AI models by the US government has forced decentralized markets like Hyperliquid to shutter related perpetual contracts. While the directional cue for majors remains bullish, the primary risk for the week is the Federal Reserve policy meeting, where newly appointed Chair Kevin Warsh will make his debut.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $85.8m -$4.9m
Value traded $1.8b $483.8m
Net assets $79.6b $9.2b
Cumulative net inflow $53.6b $11.2b

3) X trending news

  • US-Iran peace deal complete; President Trump confirms the Strait of Hormuz is now open for oil traffic.
  • SpaceX IPO raises $85.7 billion; the capital raise exceeds the previous record set by Saudi Aramco by 191%.
  • Crypto shorts liquidated; more than $150,000,000 in short positions were wiped out following the peace agreement.
  • Record global capital raising; companies have raised $4.7 trillion in equity and debt so far this year to fund AI infrastructure.
  • Clarity Act target date; White House officials are aiming to pass the crypto legislation by July 4th.
  • Strategy buys more Bitcoin; the firm added 1,587 BTC worth approximately $105,000,000.
  • Gold funds see outflows; investors pulled $2.3 billion from gold funds last week, marking the fourth consecutive weekly withdrawal.
  • Nvidia $20 billion bond issuance; the tech giant plans a 7 part bond sale to raise massive capital.