Executive brief

The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates between 3.50% and 3.75%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a change. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh described the US economy as showing impressive resilience despite inflation remaining above the 2% target. Market participants are increasingly navigating a regime without forward guidance as the central bank remains divided, with three members dissenting in favour of a rate hike. This macroeconomic backdrop coincides with institutional expansion, as Morgan Stanley launched Ethereum and Solana ETPs, leveraging its $7.4 trillion in client assets to compete with rock-bottom fees of 0.14%.

The industrial landscape for Bitcoin miners continues to transform as operators prioritise high-density computing over traditional extraction. Core Scientific reported an $80 million profit from its AI hosting pivot, contrasting with a negative 56% gross margin in its self-mining business. This shift represents a key driver for the sector as firms repurpose electricity assets for more profitable workloads. Meanwhile, geopolitical volatility remains a significant risk, as US oil prices surged 7% following Iranian strikes on a US base. These pressures, combined with the regulatory impasse for the CLARITY Act regarding ethics language, provide a mixed directional cue for digital assets. Long-term opportunities are appearing in market infrastructure, with BNY targeting the $8.6 trillion transfer agency market via blockchain rails.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$49.75m $14.53m
Value traded $1.40b $633.49m
Net assets $77.23b $10.50b
Cumulative net inflow $51.32b $11.21b

3) X trending news

  • Fed leaves rates unchanged; the central bank extends its longest pause since 2008 with rates held at 3.50% to 3.75%.
  • Pavel Durov charged in Russia; an international arrest warrant has been issued for the Telegram founder on terrorism-related charges.
  • South Korea stock market collapse; the market crashed 44% in 40 days, erasing $2 trillion in market cap.
  • US stock market wiped $800 billion; massive losses recorded in the first three hours of trading amid chip stock volatility.
  • Oil prices surge 7%; energy markets reacted sharply after Iran launched strikes on a US airbase in Jordan.
  • BlackRock backs Crypto Clarity Act; the $15 trillion asset manager is calling for the US Senate to pass landmark market legislation.
  • Warsh highlights AI growth; the Fed Chair noted that artificial intelligence will be a primary driver for future economic expansion.
  • Wealthiest 1% own 50.1% of equity; ownership concentration has risen significantly from 40.1% recorded in 1990.