Executive brief

Bitcoin has decisively broken through major resistance levels, surging past $85,000 after a massive short squeeze forced the liquidation of $648m in bearish bets. This upward momentum follows a period where bitcoin gained 44% in the third quarter , signaling a potential full-blown bull market. Institutional demand remains a primary driver, evidenced by Michael Saylor’s Strategy acquiring 950 bitcoin for $76m and Tom Lee’s Bitmine purchasing $75m of ether. These acquisitions highlight a persistent trend of corporate accumulation that has intensified as the cryptocurrency reclaimed its 50-week moving average, a technical milestone that historically precedes major expansion cycles.

While the legislative path stalled with the defeat of the Clarity Act in the Senate, federal regulators are filling the void. The SEC has signaled a push toward tokenized stocks , potentially benefiting major platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. Concurrently, the European Central Bank has deployed its Pontes platform to settle wholesale tokenized assets in central bank money, highlighting a global shift toward onchain financial rails. This institutional infrastructure is being matched by private sector activity, such as Hana Bank issuing a $100m digital bond using blockchain technology to shorten settlement times to a single day.

A key opportunity lies in the entry of Big Tech into the stablecoin sector , as Google and Apple actively recruit crypto talent for future projects. However, a significant risk remains in the divergence between price and network utility; despite the price rally, onchain address growth has remained at median levels , suggesting the current move is heavily reliant on derivatives leverage rather than broad retail participation. Directionally, the market is buoyed by the reclamation of the 50-week moving average , which has historically marked the conclusion of bear market cycles.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $433,027,402.35 $143,804,276.33
Value traded $4,666,577,652 $1,879,973,162
Net assets $102,531,745,269.32 $16,719,407,123.83
Cumulative net inflow $55,160,933,041.12 $13,250,029,412.49

3) X trending news

  • Bitcoin surges to $86,000; over $575 million in leveraged short positions were liquidated from the market in 12 hours.
  • Strategy records $8.75 billion profit; Michael Saylor’s company is now sitting on significant unrealised gains from its bitcoin investment.
  • ECB launches digital euro payments; the European Central Bank has officially started tokenised transactions between banks.
  • Trump calls AI bigger than Industrial Revolution; the President stated he will not stifle growth in a sector he views as larger than the internet itself.
  • US Diesel prices hit $6.50 record; fuel costs have reached an all time high according to AAA data.
  • SoftBank to raise $11 billion for OpenAI; the company is launching one of the largest junk bond deals to fund a follow-on investment.
  • Meta stock adds $190 billion in market cap; shares extended gains to over 10% in its biggest daily jump since July 2025.
  • US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at 1982 lows; inventories fell to 284.6 million barrels following 26 consecutive weeks of decline.