Executive brief

The cryptocurrency market has reclaimed a total capitalisation of $3.1b as Bitcoin reached $86,000 for the first time since January. This breakout was fueled by a significant reduction in bearish leverage, with over $1,000m in short positions liquidated within 24 hours. A key driver for this risk-on sentiment appears to be the falling price of WTI crude oil, which dropped below $90, alongside news of a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. High-level institutional activity is providing a strong directional cue, highlighted by spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting nearly $1,000m in a single day, marking the ninth-largest inflow on record. This suggests the rally has transitioned from mechanical short-covering to genuine spot demand.

Further institutional infrastructure is being laid as the ECB prepares to invest in tokenised securities via its new Pontes platform and Canada’s Big Six banks launch an interbank tokenised deposit initiative. Corporate treasuries are also doubling down, with Strategy adding 950 BTC to its holdings. However, a significant risk remains in the build-up of leverage, as aggregate open interest has climbed to $156b. There is also an opportunity cue in the “altseason” signal identified by Glassnode, as Bitcoin market-cap share stalls below 60% while major altcoins like Dogecoin and NEAR post double-digit gains. Investors should watch the $90,000 level, where significant options open interest is now concentrated.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $998,952,286.99 $269,982,163.74
Value traded $4,572,053,762.50 $1,161,284,326.30
Net assets $110,135,172,798.21 $17,816,458,247.02
Cumulative net inflow $56,159,885,328.11 $13,520,011,576.23

3) X trending news

  • BTC ETF inflow surge; spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $999m on Monday, the largest intake since October 2025.
  • X launches trading partnership; the platform joined with Gemini, Kraken, and Coinbase to enable trading from the timeline.
  • Solana trades surpass NYSE; Solana recorded 208m weekly spot DEX trades, exceeding the NYSE count of 190m.
  • U.S. government Intel profit; the government is up $44b on its Intel investment, representing a 495% unrealized gain in 13 months.
  • USD speculative bets fall; long positioning in the U.S. Dollar fell $15b to $5b, the lowest level since March.
  • Semiconductor ETF record; combined assets in SMH and SOXX ETFs have reached $116b.
  • Moscow Exchange futures launch; the exchange debuted perpetual futures for 5 major tokens including XRP and Solana.
  • Polymarket odds hit 42%; prediction markets now see a 42% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end.
  • Money market fund record; U.S. household assets in money market funds reached a record $5.11 trillion.
  • Trump July securities disclosure; filings show 1,156 trades in July totaling up to $270m in volume.