Executive brief

Bitcoin has retreated under the $72,000 level as a confluence of institutional selling and geopolitical volatility weighs on digital asset markets. A primary catalyst for the shift in sentiment was the disclosure that Michael Saylor’s Strategy sold 32 bitcoin to fund preferred stock distributions, marking the firm’s first divestment since 2022. While the $2.5m sale was described by analysts as immaterial to the firm’s total holdings of 843,706 BTC, the psychological impact triggered broader market concern. This selling pressure is reflected in latest data showing crypto funds suffered $1.67b in outflows last week, the second-largest weekly exit of the year.

The macro environment remains challenging as US PCE inflation reached 3.8%, keeping liquidity conditions tight under the new Federal Reserve leadership. Geopolitical risks spiked after Iran announced an end to negotiations with the US and threatened a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to surge 8%. On the regulatory front, the UK sanctioned a Russian crypto network alleged to have processed $90b in illicit volume. Despite this, the US crypto industry has assembled a $220m war chest for the 2026 midterms, signalling a major shift in political leverage. A key directional driver will be whether spot ETF outflows, which recently hit a record 10-day streak, can find a floor. An opportunity remains in the tokenisation sector, with Citi predicting the market will reach $5.5t by 2030, while Hyperliquid (HYPE) continues to outperform majors with a target of $100.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$125.3m -$17.9m
Value traded $2.2b $589m
Net assets $94.2b $11.3b
Cumulative net inflow $55.7b $11.4b

3) X trending news

  • Anthropic files for IPO; the AI firm is expected to reach a market cap of $1.8t on its first day of trading.
  • Iran ends US negotiations; the state vows to block the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil prices above $94 per barrel.
  • Bitcoin falls under $71,000; the price drop follows news of the Strategy BTC sale and rising geopolitical tensions.
  • Market liquidations hit $135m; over $135m was liquidated from the crypto market in a single 60 minute window.
  • Micron hits $1,000 per share; the stock is now valued at $1.2t, up from $60b only 13 months ago.
  • US deficit reaches 6% of GDP; the budget gap is twice as large as the G7 average of 3%.
  • Gold vs Dollar performance; the US Dollar has lost 99.24% of its value against gold since 1971.