Executive brief

Bitcoin demonstrated significant resilience on Monday, reclaiming the $70,000 level even as geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran escalated following military strikes. The digital asset initially behaved as a liquid risk asset, dropping toward $63,000, before decoupling from traditional equities to outperform during the US trading session. The rally was supported by continued institutional accumulation, with Michael Saylor’s Strategy purchasing another 3,015 Bitcoin for approximately $204 million, lifting its total holdings to 720,737 coins. Similarly, Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap Financial added 450 Bitcoin to its treasury, making it the 19th largest publicly traded holder.

The broader macroeconomic landscape remains dominated by energy concerns, as Saudi Arabia shut down its Ras Tanura refinery following a drone strike and oil prices surged 12% to $75 per barrel. Despite these pressures, institutional interest in digital asset infrastructure is accelerating. JPMorgan analysts suggest that the possible mid-year approval of US market structure legislation could serve as a positive catalyst for the second half of 2026. In Europe, the Qivalis consortium of 12 major banks is advancing plans for a euro-backed stablecoin, targeting a late 2026 launch to ensure regional liquidity.

Regulation and security remain primary risks to the current recovery. Turkey’s ruling party has unveiled a proposal for a 10% crypto income tax, while South Korean authorities are investigating a $4.8 million theft caused by a tax official accidentally leaking a wallet seed phrase in a press photo. For investors, a key opportunity lies in the potential for easier monetary policy if the US Federal Reserve prints money to support conflict costs, though a sustained oil spike toward $100 per barrel remains a significant inflationary threat.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$27.6m -$43.0m
Value traded $2.6b $679.6m
Net assets $83.4b $11.0b
Cumulative net inflow $54.8b $11.6b

3) X trending news