Executive brief

Digital asset markets are navigating a volatile intersection of resilient economic data and intensifying geopolitical escalation. The latest U.S. labor data showed 178,000 jobs added in March, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, yet Bitcoin remained range-bound near the $67,000 level. This macro strength is colliding with a sharp rise in regional tensions following reports that a U.S. fighter jet was shot down over Iran, which pushed Brent crude prices toward $111 per barrel. With traditional markets closed for the Good Friday holiday, Bitcoin is increasingly serving as an open circuit for global risk discovery. On the institutional front, Coinbase received conditional approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a national trust charter, a move that could allow for uniform federal oversight of custody and settlement infrastructure across 50 states.

However, the sector continues to face significant security headwinds, highlighted by a $286 million exploit of the Solana-based Drift Protocol. Analysts have linked the sophisticated attack, which utilised durable nonces to bypass administrative multisig security, to North Korean state-sponsored actors. Furthermore, legislative progress in Washington remains stalled as the US Clarity Act faces a four-way deadlock regarding stablecoin yield mechanics. While the IMF advocates for a comprehensive tokenization roadmap to manage systemic risks, a key driver for the weekend is the aggressive short positioning of institutional traders, with negative funding rates persisting for over a month. This environment presents a distinct opportunity for a short squeeze if Bitcoin can reclaim key resistance levels above $68,000.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $9.0m -$71.17m
Value traded $1.97b $970.11m
Net assets $86.22b $11.7b
Cumulative net inflow $55.96b $11.48b

3) X trending news

  • US fighter jet shot down over Iran; officials confirmed an F-15E was downed with a search mission underway for 2 pilots.
  • US adds 178,000 jobs in March; the economy crushed expectations of 65,000 additions while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%.
  • Charles Schwab to launch crypto trading; the $12 trillion firm is expected to offer Bitcoin and Ethereum trading to users soon.
  • Trump unveils defense budget; the proposed $1.5 trillion spending plan would be the largest military increase since World War II.
  • Iran demands shipping fees in crypto; ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz may be required to pay fees in cryptocurrency or Chinese yuan.
  • Robinhood CEO on tokenization; Vlad Tenev stated that tokenization allows for a financial system that functions more like the internet.
  • Gen Z financial goals shifting; younger workers are increasingly moving away from traditional saving patterns in favour of lifestyle-first decisions.