Executive brief

Bitcoin has displayed significant resilience in the face of escalating geopolitical tension, surging above $73,000 to hit a fresh one-month high. This breakout occurs alongside a historic meltdown in the South Korean stock market, where the KOSPI index fell 12.1% in a single session. Market sentiment appears buoyed by reports that Iran has made a secret offer to negotiate an end to the conflict with the US and Israel. Institutional demand remains a primary driver, evidenced by US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording $225.2m in net inflows as BlackRock’s IBIT continues to offset redemptions from other funds.

Regulatory developments are also providing a directional cue, particularly with Kraken becoming the first crypto company to secure access to the US Federal Reserve core payments system. On the legislative front, President Trump has actively pressured banking groups to stop undermining a digital asset market structure bill, suggesting the industry might otherwise migrate to China. However, a significant risk cue has emerged from the mining sector; MARA Holdings has updated its policy to allow for the potential sale of its entire 53,822 BTC treasury to fund its pivot into AI infrastructure. Traders are also eyeing a structural opportunity in derivatives, as CFTC approval for onshore perpetual futures is anticipated as early as April.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $225.2m -$10.8m
Value traded $4.0b $1.2b
Net assets $87.6b $11.3b
Cumulative net inflow $55.5b $11.6b

3) X trending news

  • Bitcoin reclaims $73,000; the Nasdaq 100 extended gains to 1.2% as Bitcoin hit a fresh one-month high.
  • Hormuz tanker traffic drops; traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has collapsed by 92% following the start of hostilities.
  • Kraken Fed access; Kraken has become the first crypto exchange to gain access to the Federal Reserve core payments system.
  • Iran secret offer; reports suggest Iran made a secret offer to negotiate a deal to end the war, sending stock futures higher.
  • Trump warns banks; President Trump stated he will not allow banks to undermine the crypto agenda and urged a deal with the industry.
  • Sweden war preparation; the central bank advised all adults to keep a week’s worth of cash at home for crisis essentials.
  • US gas prices rise; average petrol prices in the US have increased to $3.20, the highest level since late 2025.