Executive brief

The cryptocurrency market is navigating a complex intersection of regulatory breakthroughs and macroeconomic friction. A primary driver this week is the final approval of a US national trust bank charter for Circle, the issuer of USDC. This development grants the firm federal fiduciary status under the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, though the entity remains restricted from traditional deposit-taking. This shift occurs as the GENIUS Act approaches a one-year rulemaking deadline on 18 July, potentially reshaping how stablecoins are integrated into the US financial system.

In the markets, Bitcoin has recovered to approximately $64,000, yet it faces stiff competition for institutional liquidity from the artificial intelligence sector. Evidence of this rotation is seen in CoreWeave securing a $20 billion funding haul, while Bitcoin remains significantly below its peak. Analysts suggest a directional cue will emerge following the US consumer price index report on 14 July, which will test the current relief rally. Investors are also monitoring the BTC corporate credit market, which has grown to $10 billion despite recent liquidation shocks in preferred shares.

A significant risk cue comes from the decentralised finance space, specifically the $9.05 million oracle exploit on the Hedera-based Bonzo protocol. Meanwhile, opportunity cues are appearing in the Asia-Pacific region. Hong Kong is developing a gold and yuan network to offer non-dollar settlement routes, and Metaplanet is exploring Bitcoin-backed credit in Japan. These structural advancements are being met with increased political scrutiny, as Senate Democrats investigate presidential ties to the sector amid ongoing legislative debates.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $90.4m $18.4m
Value traded $1.45b $413.5m
Net assets $77.4b $9.59b
Cumulative net inflow $51.3b $10.97b

3) X trending news

  • Iran rejects US ultimatum; the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed to all traffic except northern Iranian routes.
  • Memory ETF $DRAM hits record; the fund surpassed $25b in assets, overtaking the 26-year-old South Korea ETF in just months.
  • US ETF AUM record; total assets in US-listed ETFs reached $15.6t, doubling in the last 30 months.
  • Apple sues OpenAI; the tech giant alleges misappropriation of trade secrets in a new court filing.
  • China challenges US AI lead; Chinese AI model token usage surged 113% month-on-month to reach 98 trillion tokens.
  • US consumer credit falls; borrowing declined by $182m in May, marking the first monthly drop since late 2024.