Executive brief
The cryptocurrency market is currently navigating a period of significant geopolitical tension as the Middle East conflict enters its third week. Despite a 3.5% intraday drop following US military strikes on Iran’s oil infrastructure at Kharg Island, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience by holding above $71,000. This price action follows a stronger recovery compared to gold and stocks since the onset of the conflict, although analysts remain cautious about a looming sell wall at the $74,000 level. Market participants are increasingly focused on the Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for 17 March, as sticky core PCE inflation of 3.1% and weakening GDP growth of 0.7% complicate the outlook for rate cuts.
Institutional infrastructure continues to expand as BlackRock launched its staked Ethereum ETF, recording over $15.5m in trading volume on its first day. This move signifies a shift in how Ethereum is marketed to mainstream investors, transitioning from a speculative technology bet to a yield-bearing portfolio asset. Concurrently, Circle’s USDC volumes have overtaken Tether’s USDT for the first time since 2019, suggesting that regulated stablecoins are gaining ground in institutional payments and settlement. However, the industry faces mounting scrutiny as US sanctions targeted North Korean IT workers involved in a $800m crypto laundering scheme, reinforcing the regulatory pressure on digital asset rails.
Significant risks persist within the decentralised finance sector, highlighted by a whale losing nearly $50m in a single DeFi swap due to a slippage error on a mobile device. Additionally, the rise of violent “wrench attacks” targeting crypto holders in France has forced a rethink of personal security and self-custody practices. While positive ETF flows of $583m provide a liquidity floor, the combination of energy shocks and potential punitive bank capital rules for Bitcoin remains a primary risk for long-term integration.
1) Top 20 news headlines
- Bitcoin holds $71,000 despite Trump warning of strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island; the largest cryptocurrency remains up 4.2% on the week despite geopolitical volatility;.
- Circle’s USDC volumes top Tether’s USDT for first time since 2019; Mizuho analysts raised the price target for Circle to $120 following the shift in stablecoin dominance;.
- US sanctions North Korean IT facilitators in $800 million laundering scheme; the Treasury Department identified 21 addresses across Ethereum, Tron, and Bitcoin used to fund weapons programmes;.
- BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF records $15.5 million volume on debut; the new product launched with over $100m in assets and offers monthly staking rewards;.
- Crypto whale loses $50 million in single DeFi slippage error; a trader swapped $50.43m for just $36,100 worth of AAVE after overriding mobile warning signals;.
- Ethereum Foundation publishes mandate defining its role and core principles; the document codifies “CROPS” principles including censorship resistance and privacy;.
- Circle overtakes BlackRock in tokenized Treasuries as market hits $11 billion; Circle’s USYC fund grew to $2.2b, surpassing BlackRock’s BUIDL fund;.
- Fed prepares capital rules that could penalise banks for Bitcoin holdings; a revised Basel proposal could apply a 1,250% risk weight to unbacked crypto exposures;.
- Ethereum Foundation sells 5,000 ether to BitMine in $10.2 million deal; the funds will support protocol research and ecosystem grants;.
- Court concludes Custodia Bank fight with Federal Reserve in a loss; the bank’s bid for a master account was denied despite recent approvals for other firms;.
- Public Bitcoin treasuries see first net decrease since late 2025; sales by various entities resulted in a net reduction of 800 BTC for the month of February;.
- Crypto holders in France targeted by violent home invasions and abductions; a couple near Versailles was forced to transfer €900,000 in Bitcoin at knifepoint;.
- SEC dismisses $7 million civil fraud case against BitClout founder; the case against Nader Al-Naji was dismissed with prejudice;.
- Strategy (MicroStrategy) poised to buy 6,158 BTC per week to hit milestone; the firm needs to spend roughly $523m weekly to reach 1 million BTC by year-end;.
- Trump memecoin whale nets $2.5 million profit following gala news; a dormant whale bet $7m on the token, sparking a 60% rally;.
- Brazil industry giants representing 850 companies decry stablecoin tax threat; groups argue that taxing stablecoins as fiat currency is unconstitutional;.
- Vitalik Buterin questions AI policy group’s $500 million SHIB liquidation; the Ethereum co-founder expressed concerns over a “political pivot” toward authoritarian outcomes;.
- Bonk.fun domain hijacked in Solana wallet draining exploit; users were warned not to interact with the domain after hackers compromised a team account;.
- World Liberty Financial offers team access for $5 million token lockup; the Trump-linked DeFi venture introduced a “Super Node” structure for governance;.
- XRP Ledger payments hit record 2.7 million daily transactions; despite network activity growth, XRP tokenized asset value jumped 35% in 30 days;.
2) BTC and ETH ETF flows
| Metric | BTC | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Net inflow | $180.3m | $26.7m |
| Value traded | $4.9b | $1.3b |
| Net assets | $91.8b | $12.3b |
| Cumulative net inflow | $56.1b | $11.8b |
3) X trending news
- Trump strikes Kharg Island; US Central Command targeted Iran’s crown jewel oil island in the most powerful bombing raids in regional history.
- $2 trillion stock wipeout; total market capitalisation lost from US equities in the past month as war risks escalate.
- S&P 500 liquidity collapse; futures liquidity fell to just $5.1m, a level that signals extreme market stress according to Goldman Sachs.
- Oman peace deal rejected; President Trump declined a mediation attempt to open communication with Iran as the war enters its third week.
- Weekly ETF volume record; trading in US-listed ETFs jumped to $2.2 trillion last week, marking the second-highest volume in history.
- Iran oil yuan proposal; Iran suggests it may allow oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz if trades are settled in Chinese Yuan.
- Labour force cracks; a record 104.3 million Americans are now outside the labour force, exceeding the 2020 pandemic peak.
- Druckenmiller stablecoin forecast; billionaire investor predicts global payments will run on crypto stablecoins within 15 years due to efficiency.