Executive brief

Bitcoin surged to $78,000 during Friday trading, marking its strongest level since early February as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased significantly. A primary driver for the rally was the announcement by Iran that the Strait of Hormuz is fully open to commercial traffic for the remainder of the current ceasefire. This de-escalation triggered a risk-on move across global markets, causing US oil prices to fall below $80 per barrel. Institutional demand continues to underpin the recovery, with Strategy acquiring $2.6b in Bitcoin over the last fortnight. Market analysts suggest that Bitcoin clearing its 100-day simple moving average at $74,000 may invalidate prior bearish patterns and open a path toward $88,000.

In the stablecoin sector, total supply has reached a record $320b, despite a legislative stalemate in Washington regarding the Clarity Act. The ecosystem is also navigating structural shifts following the Drift Protocol exploit, which has led to a class action lawsuit against Circle for failing to freeze stolen funds. In response, Tether has provided a $127.5m rescue package for the protocol, though the deal mandates a transition of Drift’s settlement layer from USDC to USDT. This move intensifies the competition between major stablecoin issuers on the Solana network, which has become a primary hub for retail payments.

A significant risk remains the increasing sophistication of state-sponsored threats, with the Ethereum Foundation identifying 100 North Korean IT workers embedded across 53 crypto projects. Long-term technical risks are also being addressed through the publication of BIP 361, which outlines a three-phase plan to transition Bitcoin toward quantum-resistant cryptography. While the broader market sentiment is turning bullish, physical security for crypto executives is a growing concern in Europe, where French authorities have reported 41 crypto-related incidents in early 2026, prompting new protective government measures.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $26,051,070.56 $18,020,861.07
Value traded $2,289,394,957.70 $701,504,332.32
Net assets $97,904,953,569.90 $13,694,908,054.28
Cumulative net inflow $57,076,082,372.97 $11,816,088,420.24

3) X trending news

  • Iran suspends nuclear program; President Trump stated that a deal to end the war is mostly complete.
  • Oil prices fall below $80; US oil prices have dropped 32% over 9 trading days.
  • Charles Schwab crypto trading; the $12 trillion firm plans to launch spot trading for retail clients.
  • X trading volume hits $1 billion; the platform reported high volume for its new stock and crypto trading pilot.
  • Crypto short liquidations hit $400 million; leveraged positions were wiped out in 4 hours as Bitcoin surged.
  • Elon Musk universal high income; Musk suggested government payments to address unemployment caused by AI.
  • Chinese bond demand surges; trading volume of onshore bonds hit a record $179 billion in March.