Executive brief

Bitcoin price action remains tethered to the volatile geopolitical landscape in the Middle East as a brief window of optimism in the Strait of Hormuz was quickly slammed shut. On Friday, the market reacted with a sharp risk-on move, propelling Bitcoin to an intraday high of $78,336 after Iranian officials declared the waterway open for commercial shipping. This relief triggered a massive liquidation wave, wiping out roughly $593 million in bearish bets overnight as oil prices plunged 10%. However, the rally faltered by Saturday as Iran reimposed restrictions on the Strait, citing the continued United States blockade. Markets are now fixated on the 22 April ceasefire deadline, with Bitcoin serving as the primary liquid proxy for regional risk.

Beyond the immediate headlines, structural shifts in the industrial mining sector present a long-term risk to network security. New research suggests the cash cost to produce a single Bitcoin has risen to $79,995, forcing many listed operators to choose between hashing and artificial intelligence contracts. With over $70 billion in cumulative AI and high-performance computing deals announced, companies like Bitdeer and Core Scientific are increasingly repurposing premium power sites for data centre leases. While Bitcoin revenue still leads on aggregate, the $4 billion in potential AI revenue creates a contested business model. Meanwhile, the regulatory environment is pivoting as the SEC signals a pro-innovation agenda, even as the Clarity Act remains deadlocked in the Senate over stablecoin rewards. Despite this gridlock, the stablecoin market has hit a record $320 billion, underlining the growing demand for on-chain dollar liquidity.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $663.9m $127.5m
Value traded $4.8b $1.1b
Net assets $101.5b $14.3b
Cumulative net inflow $57.7b $11.9b

3) X trending news

  • Strait of Hormuz officially closed again; Iran’s military announced the closure following reports of an oil tanker being struck near Oman.
  • Best timed trade of 2026; oil traders placed $800 million in shorts just 21 minutes before the brief reopening announcement on Friday.
  • Michael Saylor on Bitcoin blockades; the Strategy chairman stated that it is impossible to blockade the Bitcoin network.
  • X cashtag trading volume; the new feature generated an estimated $1,000,000,000 in volume during its first week of operation.
  • Meta to cut 8,000 jobs; the social media giant plans to reduce its workforce by 10% next month.
  • Iran denies uranium transfer; officials rejected claims that enriched uranium would be moved to the US as part of a ceasefire deal.
  • S&P 500 reaches record recovery; the index has added $7.3 trillion in value since 30 March, marking its fastest recovery since 1982.
  • Elon Musk on AI unemployment; Musk suggested universal high income is the best way to handle job losses caused by robotics.