Executive brief

The digital asset market is currently navigating a period of significant structural repricing as deteriorating macroeconomic conditions collide with heavy institutional outflows. Bitcoin has struggled to maintain its footing, falling below the $77,000 level as US 30-year Treasury yields surged to 5.18%, their highest level since 2007. This spike in yields, coupled with a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve expectations following the swearing-in of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, has effectively raised the discount rate across all risk assets. While the Clarity Act offers a long-term regulatory tailwind by providing a clear decentralisation test for assets like Ether, near-term price action remains tethered to global liquidity and a strengthening US dollar.

Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment in spot markets, corporate accumulation continues at a historic scale. Michael Saylor’s Strategy announced a massive $2.01b purchase of 24,869 Bitcoin, bringing its total holdings to 843,738 BTC. However, this high-conviction buying has been countered by heavy weekly outflows from spot ETFs, which saw more than $1b in net redemptions. The market is also processing a significant security breach at Echo Protocol, where a $76m exploit involving unauthorized eBTC minting has highlighted ongoing risks in DeFi bridge infrastructure. A key directional cue suggests the selloff could worsen if Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $78,000 to $80,000 zone, as options dealers have lost the stabilizing “gamma” support that previously anchored volatility. A primary risk remains geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz, which could further spike energy prices and inflation, while the major opportunity lies in the SEC’s proposed innovation exemption for tokenized stocks, potentially allowing equities to trade on crypto rails.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$648.6m -$86.3m
Value traded $3.1b $742.4m
Net assets $100.5b $12.2b
Cumulative net inflow $57.7b $11.7b

3) X trending news

  • US 30Y Note Yield at 5.18%; yields have reached their highest level since July 2007, posing a major hurdle for risk assets.
  • Kevin Warsh to be sworn in as Fed Chair; the swearing-in is scheduled for Friday, officially replacing Jerome Powell.
  • Japan 10Y Government Bond Yield hits 2.80%; yields surged to a historic high, adding to global rates volatility.
  • Private company valuations hit $4.3 trillion; pre-IPO markets for SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI are predicting a historic season by June 30.
  • Japan recognizes stablecoins as legal payment; foreign-issued crypto stablecoins will be officially recognized starting June 1.
  • Trump Iran timeline set at 2-3 days; the President suggested a military window could extend until early next week.
  • Polymarket partners with Nasdaq Private Market; the partnership will allow users to trade shares of private companies on-chain.
  • Credit card delinquencies hit 13.1%; serious delinquencies in Q1 2026 are at the highest level since the aftermath of the 2008 crisis.