Executive brief

Bitcoin has reclaimed a bullish stance, surging past $79,000 for the first time in months. This rally is underpinned by significant institutional demand, highlighted by Strategy’s $2.5 billion bitcoin purchase, and an indefinitely extended ceasefire between the US and Iran. While geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain a headwind for energy costs, the market has responded positively to the diplomatic progress. However, the decentralised finance sector faces severe structural risks as the Kelp DAO exploit resulted in a $292 million loss, allegedly linked to North Korean cyber actors. This event, alongside a $3.5 million exploit of the Volo Protocol, underscores the persistent vulnerability of cross-chain infrastructure.

In Washington, the banking lobby is intensifying its efforts to slow stablecoin oversight, specifically targeting the GENIUS Act to prevent yield-bearing stablecoins from competing with traditional deposits. US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s recognition of crypto as an important payment rail provides a long-term directional cue for the industry. Meanwhile, investors must weigh the opportunity in institutional tokenisation, illustrated by Ripple’s move into US Treasury debt, against the risk of AI-enhanced phishing attacks on major platforms like the Apple App Store. As the Ethereum staking ratio hits a fresh high of 32%, the reduction in available float may serve as a key driver for future price appreciation. The primary risk cue remains the potential for further North Korean hacking activity, which has already hit $578 million this month.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $11.8m $43.4m
Value traded $1.86b $648.9m
Net assets $99.1b $13.7b
Cumulative net inflow $58.0b $12.1b

3) X trending news

  • Bitcoin reclaims $78,000; BTC hit the key resistance level as risk-on sentiment returned to the market.
  • Ceasefire extended indefinitely; President Trump extended the US ceasefire with Iran, causing oil prices to fall back below $90.
  • Crypto funds attracted $1.4 billion; the highest weekly inflow since January, bringing total AUM to $155 billion.
  • US running Bitcoin node; Admiral Paparo confirmed the US is using the Bitcoin protocol for operational security tests.
  • China tech export boom; integrated circuit exports surged to a record $234 billion over the last 12 months.
  • Spirit Airlines rescue loan; the Trump administration is offering a $500 million loan for a stake in the carrier.
  • Russia advances crypto bill; the new legislation will classify crypto as property and allow its use in foreign trade.
  • Google AI code generation; AI is now reportedly generating 75% of all new code at Google.