Executive brief

The digital asset market is facing a significant test of absorption as Bitcoin falls below the $60,000 support level. This price action has been primarily driven by a massive AI trade that continues to draw investor interest and capital away from the crypto sector. Analysts suggest the concentration of capital in AI-related equities has acted as a liquidity drain, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to a shift toward hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. With the odds of Bitcoin falling below $50,000 this year rising, the immediate directional cue remains bearish as sellable coins move closer to exchanges.

The technical deterioration is being exacerbated by record redemptions, with US Bitcoin ETFs recording net withdrawals of $6.4b over the past 30 days. This represents a critical risk as the market drifts closer to a significant $57,300 liquidation trap. Beyond price, institutional structures are also under pressure; the Ethereum Foundation has recently cut 20% of its staff to create a leaner organisation capable of weathering market cycles, despite record network usage. Meanwhile, the regulatory landscape remains fraught as President Trump’s refusal to sign a bipartisan housing bill has delayed a proposed ban on US central bank digital currencies.

Despite these headwinds, opportunities remain for those focused on long-term infrastructure. Standard Chartered suggests that Aave could reach $3,500 by 2030 as DeFi protocols move to capture the growing tokenised asset market. Furthermore, the industry is increasingly focused on self-policing through initiatives like OPSeC to harden protocols against the $577m in stolen crypto attributed to sophisticated hacking groups this year. For now, the primary driver remains macro liquidity, as traders brace for a choppy summer amidst a potential 25% chance of a Fed rate hike in July.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$113,780,200.575 -$82,351,039.33
Value traded $1,563,286,122.97 $354,453,677.2
Net assets $77,540,403,017.47968 $8,954,761,214.236
Cumulative net inflow $53,215,692,917.268 $11,027,654,992.855999

3) X trending news

  • Bitcoin falls under $60,000; leading cryptocurrency price has dropped nearly 20% this month.
  • Crypto erases half its value; total market cap has declined 54% from its $4.3 trillion peak in October 2025.
  • ETF outflows hit record; US Bitcoin ETFs saw $6.4 billion in withdrawals over the last 30 days.
  • Fed rate hike odds rise; markets now price a 25% chance of a rate hike at the July 29 meeting.
  • House passes CBDC ban; US House officially votes to bar the Federal Reserve from creating a CBDC until 2030.
  • Gold falls below $4,000; spot gold prices dropped below the $4,000/oz level for the first time since late 2025.
  • Oil prices hit multi-month low; Brent crude has fallen to $75, its lowest price since February.
  • Leveraged ETF AUM record; total US leveraged ETF assets hit $198 billion as investor leverage reaches new highs.