Executive brief

The cryptocurrency market is navigating an increasingly volatile macro landscape as Brent crude oil surged to $126 a barrel, reaching its highest level since 2022. This energy price spike, driven by a U.S. blockade on Iranian oil exports, has reignited fears of persistent inflation and weighed heavily on risk appetite. In his final press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell noted that March PCE inflation rose to 3.5%, largely due to global energy costs. While the Fed maintained interest rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, the hawkish internal split and rising 30-year Treasury yields, which hit 5%, have pressured Bitcoin to slip toward $75,000. Derivatives markets are currently signaling increased risk aversion as Bitcoin struggles to overcome a dense supply zone at $80,000.

Despite these headwinds, significant progress is being made in the adoption of stablecoins for real-world utility. Meta has officially launched USDC payouts for creators in the Philippines and Colombia, utilizing Solana and Polygon networks. This move highlights a growing trend of digital dollarization in the internet labour market. Simultaneously, the prediction market sector is facing intense scrutiny; the U.S. Senate unanimously voted to ban members from trading on such platforms. While regulatory pressure remains a primary risk cue, the expansion of institutional infrastructure, including Ripple opening a new regional headquarters in Dubai, provides a directional cue that long-term integration into global financial systems continues unabated.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$137.8m -$87.7m
Value traded $2.0b $750.7m
Net assets $99.3b $13.1b
Cumulative net inflow $58.1b $11.9b

3) X trending news

  • Alphabet market cap surge; Google’s parent company added $420b in value today, nearing Nvidia as the world’s most valuable company.
  • Brent crude breaks $120; oil prices surpassed $120 per barrel for the first time since June 2022 as energy security threats mount.
  • S&P 500 record high; the index reached a new all-time high of 7,200 as tech stocks continued to lead the market.
  • US seized Iranian crypto; the US Treasury confirmed the seizure of $450m in Iranian cryptocurrency assets.
  • SPR drawdown reaches low; the Strategic Petroleum Reserve dropped by 7.12 million barrels last week, hitting the lowest level since April 2025.
  • Crypto card spending jump; spending volume has surged 500% since September 2024, now running at $600m per month.
  • Musk scam testimony; Elon Musk stated during court testimony that most cryptocurrencies are scams, though some have merit.
  • Senate bans prediction trading; the Senate passed a unanimous resolution banning its members from trading on prediction markets.