Executive brief
Geopolitical developments remain the primary driver for digital assets as Bitcoin stabilises near $67,400 following comments from President Donald Trump regarding serious discussions with a new regime in Iran. While the prospect of de-escalation provided a temporary boost, the broader macro environment is constrained by surging energy costs, with Brent crude holding above $111. This energy shock has direct implications for the Federal Reserve; Chair Jerome Powell recently cautioned that US national debt is growing faster than the economy, while other officials suggest rate cuts may be off the table for 2026. This tighter liquidity environment is reflected in the Bitcoin ETF market, which saw weekly outflows of $296m, and in the behavior of major holders like Strategy, which has paused its weekly Bitcoin purchases for the first time in 13 weeks.
Simultaneously, the industry faces new regulatory headwinds with the introduction of the Digital Asset PARITY Act, which seeks to close the wash-sale tax loophole for crypto traders. Despite these pressures, institutional integration continues to mature: Jack Dorsey’s Square has auto-enabled Bitcoin payments for millions of businesses, and Bitmine recently executed a massive purchase of 71,179 ETH. For investors, a key risk cue lies in the nearly 47% of circulating Bitcoin currently trading at a loss, creating potential for further capitulation if the 200-week moving average at $59,000 is breached. Conversely, the transition of Bitcoin miners toward AI infrastructure and the launch of Aave v4 represent directional cues toward a more diversified and robust DeFi ecosystem.
1) Top 20 news headlines
- Bitcoin rises as Trump says U.S. in talks with ‘new regime’ in Iran; Bitcoin recovered toward $67,400 following comments on diplomatic progress;.
- Jack Dorsey’s Square auto-enables bitcoin payments for millions of U.S. businesses; the rollout converts BTC to dollars by default for small businesses;.
- Strategy pushes pause button on Bitcoin purchases; the company skipped its weekly purchase for the first time in 13 weeks, holding 762,099 BTC;.
- Bitmine makes biggest ether purchase in 2026; Tom Lee’s treasury purchased 71,179 ETH over the past week;.
- Trump-backed American Bitcoin hits 7,000 BTC as holdings expand rapidly; the treasury holdings are now worth approximately $475m;.
- Congress proposes removal of widely used Bitcoin tax loophole; the PARITY Act would apply wash-sale rules to digital assets while exempting regulated stablecoins;.
- Nearly half of all circulating bitcoin is underwater; 47% of all bitcoin is now trading at a loss with the Bitcoin Impact Index reaching 57.4;.
- Aave rolls out v4 on Ethereum; the upgrade introduces a hub and spoke architecture to expand DeFi into real-world credit;.
- Bernstein says the 60% crash in crypto stocks is a rare chance to buy; analysts see a potential bottom for equities like Coinbase and Robinhood after 60% drawdowns;.
- Ethereum Foundation stakes additional $42 million of ether; roughly 20,470 ETH was deposited into the Beacon Chain on Monday;.
- Bitcoin hashrate posts first-quarter drop for first time in 6 years; miners are increasingly pivoting to AI data centers as mining profitability falls;.
- Charles Hoskinson’s $200 million bet: Midnight goes live; the privacy-focused network aims to tackle mainstream usability flaws;.
- Bitdeer inks deal to build Norway’s largest AI data center; the facility will house Nvidia’s next-gen chips as miners seek new revenue streams;.
- Midas raises $50 million for tokenized asset liquidity; the funding supports an instant redemption system for onchain yield products;.
- Lido DAO proposes $20 million LDO buyback; the plan aims to support the token after a 95% slide from its all-time high;.
- The SEC’s latest crypto guidance still leaves too much unsaid; legal experts argue the agency’s reset stops short of a full course correction;.
- Zcash upside hinges on repricing financial privacy; Grayscale suggests AI surveillance could elevate demand for private digital money;.
- Hyperliquid traders in Tokyo get 200-millisecond edge; server clustering in AWS Tokyo provides a latency advantage for local traders;.
- Stablecoin payments surge in Southeast Asia; StraitsX reported a 40x increase in transaction volume for its stablecoin card program;.
- Polymarket trader turns $676 into $67,000; the trader exploited a brief UFC announcer error regarding the fight winner;.
2) BTC and ETH ETF flows
| Metric | BTC | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Net inflow | -$225,476,321.98 | -$48,544,487.29 |
| Value traded | $3,385,520,007.93 | $1,161,434,082 |
| Net assets | $84,772,057,250.48 | $11,322,466,827.93 |
| Cumulative net inflow | $55,934,963,008.82 | $11,522,821,489.98 |
3) X trending news
- Trump negotiating with Ghalibaf; the US expects to know in about 1 week if a deal can be reached with the Iranian parliamentary speaker.
- Rubio issues war timeline; Senator Rubio stated objectives in Iran will be achieved in weeks, not months.
- Powell warns on US debt; the Fed Chair stated national debt is growing substantially faster than the economy and is unsustainable.
- Energy stocks record win streak; the US Energy Select Sector Index has gained for 14 consecutive weeks, a record fueled by the Iran war.
- Hedge funds move to sidelines; net leverage dropped 3.1 points last week, marking one of the largest reductions in 5 years.
- S&P 500 volatile reversal; futures added $900b in market cap after reversing a 1% decline following peace talk headlines.
- Japan market falls 5%; Asia’s energy crisis continues to intensify, putting heavy pressure on Japanese equities.