Executive brief

The US digital asset landscape is currently defined by a significant divergence between institutional adoption and regulatory momentum. Following a weak labor report showing the US unexpectedly shed 23,000 jobs in July, the likelihood of a September Federal Reserve rate hike has plummeted. This macroeconomic shift has emboldened risk assets, with US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recording their strongest weekly performance since April, totalling more than $1.1b in fresh capital. BlackRock remains the primary driver of this trend, capturing over 80% of the capital entering these products. This institutional surge coincides with a renewed debate over self-custody security following an exploit affecting Coldcard hardware wallets, which contributed to roughly $247m in total crypto theft for the month of July.

Simultaneously, the CLARITY Act has encountered a procedural hurdle as the US Senate pushed the critical 60-vote showdown to September. While supporters remain optimistic, industry figures warn that the delay provides an opening for Asian financial hubs to attract offshore innovation. The political dimension is further complicated by Trump Media’s decision to scrap a $6.4b crypto-treasury venture with Crypto.com amid escalating ethics concerns in Washington. Investors should monitor the potential for a Bitcoin breakout toward $70,000 if ETF demand persists, though geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz present a substantial downside risk to global liquidity if energy prices spike during the weekend trade.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow $98.8m $49.6m
Value traded $1.6b $484.8m
Net assets $79.5b $10.7b
Cumulative net inflow $52.2b $11.5b

3) X trending news

  • Berkshire Hathaway leans bullish; Warren Buffett’s firm became a net buyer of equities in Q2 with $19.8b in purchases.
  • Fed rate hike odds fall; markets no longer project a rate hike next month following the third-largest monthly job loss since 2020.
  • Gold futures surge; prices for the precious metal jumped above $4,400 per ounce as the US economy shed 23,000 jobs.
  • S&P 500 hits record high; the index added $2.5t in market capitalisation this week to close at its highest level ever.
  • US oil inventories plunge; crude supplies fell for a record 17th consecutive week to 712 million barrels, the lowest level since 1984.
  • Big Tech credit risk; credit default swaps for major firms like Meta and Nvidia hit record highs as companies issued $200b in bonds.
  • South Korean retail buying; investors purchased $4.6b in US stocks during July as the KOSPI Index dropped 33% from its peak.
  • Trump calls crypto a big deal; the former president noted that more people are paying with Bitcoin and shifting away from cash.