Executive brief

Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience above $63,000 despite renewed geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and a visible shift in capital towards artificial intelligence. While Brent crude rose to $78.02 a barrel following US airstrikes on Iran, bitcoin price action remained stable, buoyed by signals that the US and Iran may still seek a diplomatic deal. However, this stability faces headwinds from U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs, which recorded a net $84 million outflow on Wednesday, ending a brief three-day streak of inflows. This suggests that while retail sentiment remains cautious, institutional demand is yet to provide a consistent floor against macro shocks.

The broader market is witnessing a significant structural shift as institutional giants integrate blockchain rails into core operations. Swift’s new blockchain ledger is entering a 24/7 pilot with 17 global banks, including HSBC and Citi, to facilitate tokenized digital asset transactions. Simultaneously, Sony Bank secured conditional approval for a U.S. stablecoin trust bank capitalised with $40 million. This institutional momentum is supported by technical moonshots such as BNB Chain’s 1 million TPS goal, designed to support an emerging economy of autonomous AI agents. For investors, the primary opportunity lies in the expansion of tokenized equity markets, which saw $8.4 billion in transfers last month, even as the CLARITY Act faces a critical 7 August deadline for U.S. regulatory progress.

Capital rotation remains a persistent risk as sovereign and venture funds rebalance toward the AI sector. Temasek, Singapore’s $400 billion wealth fund, has reportedly pivoted away from crypto to focus on AI, aiming for a 15% portfolio allocation by 2031. This trend is reinforced by Paradigm’s $1.2 billion fund dedicated to AI and robotics. Furthermore, the supply side faces a test with Worldcoin’s WLD daily unlock rate set to drop by 43% on 24 July, a move that will test whether slower emissions can offset the 4.9 billion tokens already unlocked.

1) Top 20 news headlines

2) BTC and ETH ETF flows

Metric BTC ETH
Net inflow -$84,860,056 $70,477,304.5
Value traded $1,538,994,942.29 $483,214,679.1
Net assets $75,339,109,500.3942 $9,339,074,757.355999
Cumulative net inflow $51,281,438,986.198 $11,007,103,705.116

3) X trending news

  • Inflation expectations fall; the odds of US inflation rising above 4.5% in 2026 have dropped to a new low of just 19%.
  • Big Tech borrowing record; six major firms including Amazon and Nvidia issued $182 billion in investment-grade bonds so far in 2026 for the AI arms race.
  • Semiconductor ETF demand; US long semiconductor ETFs attracted $7.1 billion in fresh capital on Tuesday alone.
  • EU user withdrawals; Binance CEO Richard Teng reports 70% of EU user withdrawals went to self-hosted wallets instead of MiCA-regulated platforms.
  • Russia crypto testing; the nation’s largest private bank has begun testing cryptocurrency trading services for qualified investors.
  • S&P 500 concentration; the top 10 US stocks now account for 43% of the index’s total market cap, a near-record high.
  • Chat Control proposal passes; the European Parliament has passed a proposal allowing private messages to be monitored.